. olympia snowe retiring, todd akins becoming a biology instructor. hawaii and new mexico have not done as well as expected. democrats have 53 seats, republicans, 47. republicans need a three-seat net gain. republicans are going to win nebraska foreshore. effectively, it is 52-48. republicans need two or three seats. there are 10 tossups, five democratic, five republican. the day after the election at lunch time i do not think we will be sure who will be a majority in the senate. i will give democrats a little edge, 10 races within three points, and one thing about senate races that happens, on election day, if you take out the wave elections like 2006, 2008, 2010, they do not just break down the middle. 2/3 tend to break one way or the other and they tend to break one way more than the other. because >> it will be so close? >> you had missouri, montana, virginia, three states that decided the majority in the senate. 4.8 million people voted in those three states, and it was well into the day later before we knew who was gone to be the majority. >> this is congruent with charlie's math.